Publications

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Rapid Geographic Expansion, Decelerating Growth, and Six-Month Scenario Projections of Bundibugyo Virus Disease in the DRC

In May 2026, the Democratic Republic of the Congo declared an outbreak of Bundibugyo virus disease caused by Bundibugyo ebolavirus. We analysed aggregated official Situation Reports (SitReps) issued from 14 May through 14 July 2026 to describe the reported epi- demic trajectory, geographic expansion, mortality, interval-specific growth, and conditional six-month

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Sudan Virus Disease in Uganda, 2025

In early 2025, Uganda faced its fifth outbreak of Sudan virus disease. What followed was a response notable not only for how quickly the virus was contained, but for the unusually low death toll it produced — an outcome that offers real insight for how emerging epidemic threats can be

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Genome-wide dynamics of emerging viral diseases

Emerging viral diseases rarely arise from nowhere. Most originate in animal reservoirs—wild or domestic species where the virus persists without causing severe disease. Yet identifying which animal populations might harbour a dangerous pathogen, or which new host a virus might successfully invade, remains extraordinarily difficult. Field-based ecological mapping is expensive,

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Cross-Border Transmission of Bundibugyo Virus into Uganda, 2026

In May 2026, two travellers who had fallen ill in the Democratic Republic of the Congo crossed into Uganda seeking advanced medical care — and in doing so, carried Ebola disease caused by Bundibugyo virus into Kampala. It marked Uganda’s second recognised outbreak of this virus since 2007, and prompted

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Mpox Epidemics: A Call to Restore Humanity’s Lost Herd Immunity to Orthopoxviruses

Orthopoxviruses are a group of zoonotic, phylogenetically related, double-stranded DNA viruses. The genus Orthopoxvirus belongs to the family Poxviridae, under which there are several genera, including Parapoxvirus, Avipoxvirus, Capripoxvirus, Leporipoxvirus, Suipoxvirus, Molluscipoxvirus, and Yatapoxvirus. Historically, the most widely reported infection caused by an Orthopoxvirus is smallpox—a disease of humans from

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